week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Drew Rom
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
new call as of September 27, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.82); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Rom is a hold — league average, and the sample is thin.
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.6%—+4.1% ▲vs his ~19.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.82)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed52.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+12.1%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % Allowed is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.335
lg avg .315 ▲+.020vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
72 / 200 TBF
xERA4.82
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.72vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
72 / 200 TBF
ERA4.60
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.50vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
15.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm +4.1% ▲
72 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm −1.2% ▼Walk % is below his ~10.9% norm — expect it to rise.
72 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.348
lg avg .295 ▲+.053vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
72 / 60 TBF
Chase %17.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−11.4%vs his norm —
72 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —
262 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.6%→20.6%signal0 K — K% 23.6% (signal) tempered to career ~19.5% → projected 20.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.82noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.82 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 9.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.40 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.