MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of J.T. Ginn
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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J.T. Ginn

ATH·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Ginn is a sell-high — his ERA is BABIP smoke.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.89 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed35.6%
35.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.3%
6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.312
.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL241 / 200 TBF
xERA3.89
3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL241 / 200 TBF
ERA2.87
2.87
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.23too early to trust
NOISE59.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.6%
21.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL241 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.8%
10.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL241 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.235
.235
lg avg .295 ▼−.060too early to trust
NOISE160 / 800 BIP