Is Gage Jump a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Gage Jump's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Gage Jump

ATH·P

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Hold · steady skill near league average (3.96); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSK 43ERA 3.96WHIP 1.31W 0–0SV 0

Jump is a hold — league average with no edge.

His xERA is 3.96, essentially league average, and he has faced 204 batters — enough for that number to be reliable. His xwOBA allowed, strikeout rate, and walk rate all sit within a few points of league average. The stable metrics show a pitcher who is neither special nor broken. His fastball averages 96.3 mph, a tick above average, but the overall production is unremarkable. His xERA has been stepping down through the sample, but it remains near the league mean. There is no luck story to sell or hidden skill to buy. Hold. 43 K and a 3.96 ERA makes him a 10-team streamer at best; a drop if you need strikeouts elsewhere.

Drivers

xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.96)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed40.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

138 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed5.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —

138 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.309

lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —

204 / 200 TBF

xERA3.96

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.14vs his norm —

204 / 200 TBF

ERA3.51

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.59vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

48.7 / 200 IP

Strikeout %23.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

204 / 70 TBF

Walk %7.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

204 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.328

lg avg .295 ▲+.033vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

138 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —

204 / 60 TBF

Chase %33.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —

204 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo96.3 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.3 mphvs his norm —

810 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 23.5%→23.2%signal43 K — K% 23.5% (signal) tempered to SP mean ~22.0% → projected 23.2% over ~43 remainin…

xERA 3.96signal3.96 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.96 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…

BB% 7.4% + contactsignal1.31 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.301 gives a 1.31 skill WHIP, blended 65…

run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop43 K ROS, 3.96 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons