84 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Denzel Clarke
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.206); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Clarke is a hold — league average, with a strikeout problem
ROS projects AVG .170 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.206)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.1 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.6%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm −4.6% ▼Barrel % is below his ~6.7% norm — expect it to rise.
48 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.206
lg avg .315 ▼−.109vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
84 / 160 PA
wOBA.194
lg avg .315 ▼−.121vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
84 / 200 PA
Strikeout %33.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.3%vs his norm —
84 / 60 PA
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
84 / 120 PA
BABIP.244
lg avg .295 ▼−.051vs his norm −.125 ▼BABIP is below his ~.369 norm — expect it to rise.
48 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
84 / 50 PA
Chase %25.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
84 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.1%→5.8%noise0 HR — Barrel% 2.1% (noise) lifted to career ~6.7% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.244→0.267 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.244 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.268 (xBA 0.161) → 0.267.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 22 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.