60 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Denzel Clarke
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 40% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.193); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .158HR 1R 8RBI 12SB 4
Clarke is a hold — league average skill with a strikeout cap.
ROS projects AVG .170 YTD → .158 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.193)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is above the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to fall.
32 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.9%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
32 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm −3.6% ▼Barrel % is below his ~6.7% norm — expect it to rise.
32 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.193
lg avg .315 ▼−.122vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
60 / 160 PA
wOBA.196
lg avg .315 ▼−.119vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
60 / 200 PA
Strikeout %40.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+18.0%vs his norm —
60 / 60 PA
Walk %6.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
60 / 120 PA
BABIP.310
lg avg .295 ▲+.015vs his norm −.059 ▼BABIP is below his ~.369 norm — expect it to rise.
32 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
60 / 50 PA
Chase %29.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
60 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→6.2%noise1 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (noise) lifted to career ~6.7% → projected 6.2%.
BABIP 0.310→0.273 regressednoise.158 AVG — BABIP 0.310 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.272 (xBA 0.163) → 0.273.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~116 projected PA.
slugging + lineup12 RBI — his RBI rate over ~116 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (2 in 22 G) over ~116 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.