MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
195 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekSELL

Tommy White

ATH·1B
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Sell stable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

White is a sell — the contact is light and the skill is stable.

He is averaging 85.9 mph off the bat — three mph below the league average of 89.0 — and he has 155 batted balls, past the point where exit velocity becomes reliable. The hard-hit rate is the bigger problem: 32.3% against a league average of 40.0%. His expected wOBA is .291, .024 below the league average of .315, and his sample is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His expected wOBA has also been stepping down across the sample, so the trend line points the same direction as the level. The strikeout rate is fine at 17.9%, but that does not help when the ball is not being hit hard. There is no bad-luck story pulling his line down — the bat is simply below league, and the profile keeps confirming it. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / .000 AVG line makes him waiver fodder — droppable in all formats; fade the bat.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.9 mph
85.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.1 mphvs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.3%
32.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.7%vs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.1%
7.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.291
.291*
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —
195 / 160 PA
wOBA.264
.264*
lg avg .315 ▼−.051vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
195 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.9%
17.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
195 / 60 PA
Walk %2.6%
2.6%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
195 / 120 PA
BABIP.296
.296*
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
155 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
12.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
195 / 50 PA
Chase %42.4%
42.4%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+13.9%vs his norm —
195 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.1%→7.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.1% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.296→0.269 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.296 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.263) → 0.269.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups