165 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Lawrence Butler
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Butler is a buy-low — BABIP noise hides a solid bat.
His hard-hit rate is 45.6%, above the league average of 40.0%, and it has been climbing across his sample. That contact is backed by 89.5 mph average exit velocity, also above league. The only thing dragging his line down is BABIP: .210 versus .295 league average, on 103 balls in play — far short of the 800 needed to trust that number. His expected wOBA is .299, a full 62 points above his actual .237 wOBA. The skill is intact and the slump is luck. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.72
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL103 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL103 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL103 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.299
lg avg .315 ▼−.016trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL165 / 160 PA
wOBA.237
lg avg .315 ▼−.078too early to trust
NOISE165 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL165 / 60 PA
Walk %11.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL165 / 120 PA
BABIP.210
lg avg .295 ▼−.085too early to trust
NOISE103 / 800 BIP