Is Lawrence Butler a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Lawrence Butler's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

470 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekBUY-LOW

Lawrence Butler

ATH·RF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from BUY-LOW on September 10, 2026

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.318); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSHR 1AVG .224R 4RBI 3SB 1

Butler is a hold — league-average skill, steady and unremarkable.

His expected wOBA is .318, which is .003 above the league average of .315, and he has 470 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .306, nine points below league, so there is a small gap between what he has produced and what his contact says he should have produced, but it is not the kind of gap that signals a buy-low. His contact quality is mildly above league: 89.8 mph average exit velocity and a 46.7% hard-hit rate, though his barrel rate sits right at league average. His strikeout rate is high at 26.8% and his walk rate is above league at 11.7%, roughly cancelling out. His xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is mildly encouraging, but not enough to call this anything more than what it is. Hold. 1 HR / 4 R / 3 RBI / 1 SB / .224 AVG is deep-league rotational counting only — hold as a fringe streamer, not a roster asset.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.6%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~9.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.8 mphvs his norm —

288 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %46.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —

288 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm −2.3% ▼

288 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.318

lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —

470 / 160 PA

wOBA.306

lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —

470 / 200 PA

Strikeout %26.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —

470 / 60 PA

Walk %11.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —

470 / 120 PA

BABIP.292

lg avg .295 ▼−.003vs his norm −.005 ▼BABIP is below his ~.297 norm — expect it to rise.

288 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

470 / 50 PA

Chase %24.7%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —

470 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.6%→8.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.6% (signal) lifted to career ~9.9% → projected 8.5%.

BABIP 0.292→0.300 regressednoise.224 AVG — BABIP 0.292 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.304 (xBA 0.239) → 0.300.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.

slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (4 in 53 G) over ~37 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons