Is Lawrence Butler a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Lawrence Butler's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

540 PA · week 31

this weekHOLD

last weekBUY-LOW

Lawrence Butler

ATH·RF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from BUY-LOW on October 26, 2026

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.326); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Butler is a hold — league average, with one trend worth watching.

His expected wOBA is .326, .011 above the league average of .315, and he has 540 plate appearances — past the point where that number is reliable. His actual wOBA is .319, so nothing lucky is propping up the line and nothing unlucky is dragging it down. The contact quality is solidly above league: 89.7 mph average exit velocity, a 44.8% hard-hit rate, 8.6% barrels. His plate discipline is a mixed bag that mostly nets out — he strikes out 25.7% of the time, above league, but walks 11.3%, also above league, and his chase rate of 24.6% is better than average. The one thing moving: his expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample. That is a reason to keep watching, not a reason to pay up today. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line makes him a drop — waiver-wire fringe, not a stash.

VS His Norm

Barrel %8.6%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~9.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —

338 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %44.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —

338 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm −1.3% ▼

338 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.326

lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —

540 / 160 PA

wOBA.319

lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —

540 / 200 PA

Strikeout %25.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —

540 / 60 PA

Walk %11.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —

540 / 120 PA

BABIP.298

lg avg .295 ▲+.003vs his norm +.001 ▲BABIP is above his ~.297 norm — expect it to fall.

338 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

540 / 50 PA

Chase %24.6%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —

540 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.6%→9.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.6% (signal) lifted to career ~9.9% → projected 9.1%.

BABIP 0.298→0.306 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.298 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.312 (xBA 0.245) → 0.306.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 53 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons