Rest of Season Projection
EvanCategoryLawrence
8HR →9
37R ←32
30RBI ←27
15SB ←8
.186AVG →.224
Current Season
EvanCategoryLawrence
6HR ←3
22R ←17
18RBI ←14
9SB ←4
.171AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).