Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryLawrence
6HR →8
35R ←29
26RBI ←24
7SB7
.233AVG ←.230
Current Season
DylanCategoryLawrence
2HR →3
16R →17
12RBI →14
3SB →4
.243AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Beavers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.205 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Dylan Beavers: 6 HR / 36 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).