MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
180 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Dylan Beavers

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.306) — BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSHR 3AVG .229R 18RBI 14SB 3

Beavers is a hold — league-average skill with no edge.

His expected wOBA is .306, just below the league average of .315, and the sample at 180 plate appearances is past the stabilization point so this number can be trusted. His actual wOBA is being nudged upward by a BABIP of .327 that is above league average but not yet reliable — BABIP needs around 800 balls in play and he has only 116. The extra average will likely regress as the BABIP settles. His contact quality metrics are all slightly below league: exit velocity 88.2 mph, hard-hit rate 37.9%, barrel rate 5.2%. The plate discipline is fine — walk rate above league, chase rate well below — but with no standout skill to buy into and no unstable luck to sell, he is what the numbers say: a roughly league-average bat that is a hold. 3 HR, 18 R, 14 RBI, 3 SB, .229 AVG is a drop-tier hold; stream in deep leagues only.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.2%−4.1%vs his ~9.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.2 mph
88.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.8 mphvs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.9%
37.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −2.1%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.2%
norm5.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.8%vs his norm −4.1%
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.306
.306*
lg avg .315 −.009vs his norm —
180 / 160 PA
wOBA.312
.312*
lg avg .315 −.003vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
180 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.9%
23.9%*
lg avg 22.0% +1.9%vs his norm —
180 / 60 PA
Walk %10.6%
10.6%*
lg avg 8.5% +2.1%vs his norm —
180 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
norm.327*
lg avg .295 +.032vs his norm +.027 BABIP is above his ~.300 normexpect it to fall.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.4%
10.4%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.6%vs his norm —
180 / 50 PA
Chase %22.7%
22.7%*
lg avg 28.5% −5.8%vs his norm —
180 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.2%→7.8%signal3 HR — Barrel% 5.2% (signal) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 7.8%.
BABIP 0.327→0.294 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.288 (xBA 0.234) → 0.294.
on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~137 projected PA.
slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~137 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 33 G) over ~137 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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