Is Dylan Beavers a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Dylan Beavers's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .295 and 27% Ks — nothing cheap here

363 PA · week 27

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Dylan Beavers

BAL·LF

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

Sell stable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Beavers is a sell — the bat is short of league and not unlucky.

His expected wOBA is .295, twenty points below the league average of .315, and he has 363 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .302, so there is no bad-luck story to explain the gap; what he has hit is what he is. The xwOBA trend is stepping down across the sample, which makes this look less like a cold stretch and more like the level he is at. His contact quality backs that up: 87.8 mph average exit velocity and a 38.3% hard-hit rate, both below league. He strikes out 27.3% of the time. There is no slump waiting to break here. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG ROS line makes this a drop, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %8.4%—−0.9% ▼vs his ~9.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —

227 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %38.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —

227 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm −0.9% ▼

227 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.295

lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —

363 / 160 PA

wOBA.302

lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —

363 / 200 PA

Strikeout %27.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —

363 / 60 PA

Walk %9.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

363 / 120 PA

BABIP.300

lg avg .295 ▲+.005vs his norm .000 BABIP is below his ~.300 norm — expect it to rise.

227 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.6%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —

363 / 50 PA

Chase %23.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —

363 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.4%→8.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.4% (signal) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 8.8%.

BABIP 0.300→0.277 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.300 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.268 (xBA 0.219) → 0.277.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 33 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons