119 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Dylan Beavers
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.308); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .233R 35RBI 26SB 7
Beavers is a hold — league-average line, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .243 YTD → .233 ROS, R 16 YTD → 35 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %5.2%—−4.1% ▼vs his ~9.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm −4.1% ▼
77 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
119 / 160 PA
wOBA.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
119 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
119 / 60 PA
Walk %11.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 120 PA
BABIP.311
lg avg .295 ▲+.016vs his norm +.011 ▲BABIP is above his ~.300 norm — expect it to fall.
77 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.2%→8.2%signal6 HR — Barrel% 5.2% (signal) lifted to career ~9.3% → projected 8.2%.
BABIP 0.311→0.293 regressednoise.233 AVG — BABIP 0.311 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.291 (xBA 0.236) → 0.293.
on-base + lineup35 R — his run rate over ~261 projected PA.
slugging + lineup26 RBI — his RBI rate over ~261 projected PA.
run rate / role7 SB — his steal rate (3 in 33 G) over ~261 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.