MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEX · CF
Change to
Portrait of Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KC · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Evan Carter wins 2 (R, SB); Lane Thomas wins 2 (RBI, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Evan Carter
87.7
Lane Thomas
89.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Evan Carter
37.8%
Lane Thomas
41.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Evan Carter
6.7%
Lane Thomas
6.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Evan Carter
19.5%
Lane Thomas
20.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Evan Carter
11.3%
Lane Thomas
8.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Evan Carter
.295
Lane Thomas
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Evan Carter
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .171
.185
Lane Thomas
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .226
.239

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Evan Carter
57.60
now 6
3
Lane Thomas
57.60
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Evan Carter
2026.80
now 22
20
Lane Thomas
2026.80
now 10
12
RBIhigher is better
Evan Carter
2021.20
now 18
16
Lane Thomas
2021.20
now 14
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Evan Carter
.60011.40
now 9
8
Lane Thomas
.60011.40
now 3
4
If you already own them — trade angle
SellEvan Carter — sell.conf 0.59
Hold · leans buyLane Thomas — hold.conf 0.60
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