MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TB · CF
Change to
Portrait of Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KC · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lane Thomas.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Cedric Mullins’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Lane Thomas wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Cedric Mullins wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cedric Mullins
88.3
Lane Thomas
88.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cedric Mullins
30.0%
Lane Thomas
39.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cedric Mullins
3.8%
Lane Thomas
6.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cedric Mullins
30.2%
Lane Thomas
20.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cedric Mullins
11.2%
Lane Thomas
8.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cedric Mullins
.264
Lane Thomas
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cedric Mullins
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .184
.195
Lane Thomas
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .226
.237

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cedric Mullins
55.20
now 3
3
Lane Thomas
55.20
now 2
4
Runshigher is better
Cedric Mullins
2024
now 19
20
Lane Thomas
2024
now 10
14
RBIhigher is better
Cedric Mullins
2022.20
now 16
17
Lane Thomas
2022.20
now 14
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cedric Mullins
.20012.80
now 10
10
Lane Thomas
.20012.80
now 3
4
If you already own them — trade angle
SellCedric Mullins — sell.conf 0.65
Hold · leans buyLane Thomas — hold.conf 0.60
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