319 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.1%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~5.8% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.262 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —
221 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.5%vs his norm —
221 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −1.7% ▼
221 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.262
lg avg .315 ▼−.053vs his norm —
319 / 160 PA
wOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —
319 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
319 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
319 / 120 PA
BABIP.218
lg avg .295 ▼−.077vs his norm −.041 ▼BABIP is below his ~.259 norm — expect it to rise.
221 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
319 / 50 PA
Chase %30.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
319 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.1%→4.9%signal2 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~5.8% → projected 4.9%.
BABIP 0.218→0.227 regressednoise.193 AVG — BABIP 0.218 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.190) → 0.227.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~183 projected PA.
slugging + lineup15 RBI — his RBI rate over ~183 projected PA.
run rate / role9 SB — his steal rate (10 in 51 G) over ~183 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.