199 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Cedric Mullins
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Mullins is a sell — the bat is below league with no luck excuse.
His expected wOBA sits at .245, .070 below the league average of .315, and he has 199 plate appearances — past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA tracks close to it, so there is no bad-luck story here. The contact quality explains why: his average exit velocity is 87.8 mph, hard-hit rate 28.4%, and barrel rate 1.4% — all well below league averages. His strikeout and walk rates are fine, but that just means he is a league-average discipline player making below-league contact. There is no gap between his line and his skill to wait on; the line is the skill. Sell.
Sell
med0.69
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.245 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL143 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.245
lg avg .315 ▼−.070trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL199 / 160 PA
wOBA.249
lg avg .315 ▼−.066too early to trust
NOISE199 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL199 / 60 PA
Walk %8.5%
lg avg 8.5% 0.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL199 / 120 PA
BABIP.212
lg avg .295 ▼−.083too early to trust
NOISE143 / 800 BIP