465 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.3%—−1.5% ▼vs his ~5.8% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.267 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
325 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.8%vs his norm —
325 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm −1.5% ▼
325 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.267
lg avg .315 ▼−.048vs his norm —
465 / 160 PA
wOBA.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —
465 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
465 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
465 / 120 PA
BABIP.225
lg avg .295 ▼−.070vs his norm −.034 ▼BABIP is below his ~.259 norm — expect it to rise.
325 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.0%vs his norm —
465 / 50 PA
Chase %31.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
465 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.3%→4.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.3% (signal) lifted to career ~5.8% → projected 4.9%.
BABIP 0.225→0.228 regressednoise.190 AVG — BABIP 0.225 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.191) → 0.228.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (10 in 51 G) over ~41 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.