Rest of Season Projection
CedricCategoryLawrence
5HR →9
33R ←32
27RBI27
17SB ←8
.194AVG →.224
Current Season
CedricCategoryLawrence
3HR3
19R ←17
16RBI ←14
10SB ←4
.184AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.245 below league with no luck excuse
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 33 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).