Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryLawrence
1HR →9
17R →32
17RBI →27
17SB ←8
.198AVG →.224
Current Season
HenryCategoryLawrence
0HR →3
4R →17
4RBI →14
4SB4
.288AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).