MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Tyler Soderstrom
453 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Tyler Soderstrom

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .230HR 1R 5RBI 5SB 0

Soderstrom is a hold — near-average skill, nothing unstable.

His expected wOBA is .327, which is close to the league average of .315, and he has 453 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .350, so the surface line is running a bit ahead of the skill, but not by a gap that screams regression. The contact quality is actually good: 90.7 mph average exit velocity and a 45.4% hard-hit rate, both above league, on 306 batted balls. The expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, so the trend is slightly upward. He walks 11.7% of the time and strikes out 20.1%, both better than league average. There is no luck stat driving the line in either direction. Hold. Just 1 HR / 5 R / 5 RBI rest of season — a fringe deep-league hold, not a roster-anywhere asset.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.5%−1.9%vs his ~11.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.7 mph
90.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.7 mphvs his norm —
306 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.4%
45.4%*
lg avg 40.0% +5.4%vs his norm —
306 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.5%
norm9.5%*
lg avg 8.0% +1.5%vs his norm −1.9%
306 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.327
.327*
lg avg .315 +.012vs his norm —
453 / 160 PA
wOBA.350
.350*
lg avg .315 +.035vs his norm —
453 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.1%
20.1%*
lg avg 22.0% −1.9%vs his norm —
453 / 60 PA
Walk %11.7%
11.7%*
lg avg 8.5% +3.2%vs his norm —
453 / 120 PA
BABIP.272
norm.272*
lg avg .295 −.023vs his norm −.029 BABIP is below his ~.301 normexpect it to rise.
306 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.5%
10.5%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.5%vs his norm —
453 / 50 PA
Chase %25.9%
25.9%*
lg avg 28.5% −2.6%vs his norm —
453 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.5%→10.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.5% (signal) lifted to career ~11.4% → projected 10.2%.
BABIP 0.272→0.272 regressednoise.230 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.272 (xBA 0.246) → 0.272.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 56 G) over ~43 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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