Rest of Season Projection
JonnyCategoryTyler
3HR →12
34R34
38RBI ←34
12SB ←1
.249AVG ←.243
Current Season
JonnyCategoryTyler
2HR →7
17R →26
19RBI →26
6SB ←1
.269AVG ←.226
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Tyler Soderstrom
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jonny DeLuca: 3 HR / 34 R. Tyler Soderstrom: 12 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
