Is Jonny DeLuca a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jonny DeLuca's rest-of-season outlook?

Exit velo 85 mph, nearly league-worst contact.

206 PA · week 18

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Jonny DeLuca

TB·RF

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18

Sell stable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.61

ROSAVG .246HR 1R 18RBI 20SB 6

DeLuca is a sell — the bat is below league and trending down.

His expected wOBA is .286, well below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. The trend is heading in the wrong direction — his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample. His actual wOBA is .318, propped up above his true skill, so there is no bad-luck story hiding a better bat. His contact quality is plainly weak: 85.0 mph average exit velocity versus 89.0 league-wide, a 29.9% hard-hit rate against 40.0%, and a 3.9% barrel rate against 8.0%. Each of these metrics is stable past its stabilization point. He does strike out at a slightly below-average rate, but that alone cannot lift a bat this light. The skill is what the numbers say it is — below average with nowhere to go. Sell. 1 HR / 18 R / 20 RBI / 6 SB / .246 AVG is a deep-league-only line — treat him as a streaming option, not a keep.

VS His Norm

Barrel %3.9%—+0.0% ▲vs his ~3.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo85.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.0 mphvs his norm —

154 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %29.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.1%vs his norm —

154 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm +0.0% ▲

154 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.286

lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —

206 / 160 PA

wOBA.318

lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —

206 / 200 PA

Strikeout %20.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —

206 / 60 PA

Walk %4.9%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —

206 / 120 PA

BABIP.308

lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm +.019 ▲BABIP is above his ~.289 norm — expect it to fall.

154 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %14.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —

206 / 50 PA

Chase %34.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.9%vs his norm —

206 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.9%→3.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 3.9% (signal) tempered to career ~3.9% → projected 3.9%.

BABIP 0.308→0.305 regressednoise.246 AVG — BABIP 0.308 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.305 (xBA 0.253) → 0.305.

on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~132 projected PA.

slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~132 projected PA.

run rate / role6 SB — his steal rate (6 in 41 G) over ~132 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons