Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryJonny
10HR ←3
36R ←35
29RBI →39
10SB →12
.234AVG →.249
Current Season
CamCategoryJonny
6HR ←2
26R ←17
21RBI ←19
7SB ←6
.218AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Smith
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Cam Smith: 10 HR / 37 R. Jonny DeLuca: 3 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).