Rest of Season Projection
JonnyCategoryMickey
3HR →11
35R →36
39RBI →49
12SB ←2
.249AVG ←.208
Current Season
JonnyCategoryMickey
2HR →12
17R →21
19RBI →28
6SB ←1
.269AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Mickey Moniak
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
Jonny DeLuca: 3 HR / 35 R. Mickey Moniak: 11 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).