164 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Mickey Moniak
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.324); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 11AVG .208R 36RBI 49SB 2
Moniak is a hold — league-average skill, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 12 YTD → 11 ROS, AVG .280 YTD → .208 ROS, R 21 YTD → 36 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.5%—+1.6% ▲vs his ~11.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —
111 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
111 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.5%vs his norm +1.6% ▲
111 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.324
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
164 / 160 PA
wOBA.400
lg avg .315 ▲+.085vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
164 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
164 / 60 PA
Walk %6.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
164 / 120 PA
BABIP.303
lg avg .295 ▲+.008vs his norm −.013 ▼BABIP is below his ~.317 norm — expect it to rise.
111 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.5%→12.5%signal11 HR — Barrel% 13.5% (signal) tempered to career ~11.9% → projected 12.5%.
BABIP 0.303→0.240 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.303 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.228) → 0.240.
on-base + lineup36 R — his run rate over ~285 projected PA.
slugging + lineup49 RBI — his RBI rate over ~285 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (1 in 43 G) over ~285 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.