Mickey Moniak

Moniak is a sell — the expected numbers say the line is empty.

Start with the contact quality, because it is the one number on his card that looks fine: 89.7 mph average exit velocity, a 41.5% hard-hit rate, 9.7% barrels, all a hair above league and past the sample-50 threshold. The problem is where those batted balls land. His expected wOBA is .279, .036 below the league average of .315, and at 433 plate appearances that number is past the point where it becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .324, higher than league — but it sits on a plate approach that undercuts it. He strikes out 27.5% of the time, chases 43.9% of pitches, and swings and misses on 17.9%, all well above league. And his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the season. The bat is below league and the level is real. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG rest-of-season makes him a deep-league streaming-only drop, not a hold.