MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Shea Langeliers
416 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Shea Langeliers

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Buy stable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.70
ROSAVG .241HR 1R 7RBI 6SB 0

Langeliers is a buy — his power is real, the sample proves it

His average exit velocity sits at 91.8 mph, nearly three mph above the league average of 89.0, and his hard-hit rate is 45.6% — well above the league's 40.0%. That contact quality is already stable at 281 batted balls, so it is no small-sample fluke. His expected wOBA of .363 is 48 points above league average, and his actual wOBA of .357 sits almost exactly on top of it — no luck is propping up the line. His barrel rate is 14.9%, nearly double the league average of 8.0%, and both his hard-hit and expected-wOBA have been climbing as the sample has grown. The one knock is a 14.3% swinging-strike rate, but the power is so far above average that it outweighs the contact risk. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %14.9%+2.5%vs his ~12.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.8 mph
91.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +2.8 mphvs his norm —
281 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.6%
45.6%*
lg avg 40.0% +5.6%vs his norm —
281 / 50 BBE
Barrel %14.9%
norm14.9%*
lg avg 8.0% +6.9%vs his norm +2.5%
281 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.363
.363*
lg avg .315 +.048vs his norm —
416 / 160 PA
wOBA.357
.357*
lg avg .315 +.042vs his norm —
416 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.1%
23.1%*
lg avg 22.0% +1.1%vs his norm —
416 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
8.2%*
lg avg 8.5% −0.3%vs his norm —
416 / 120 PA
BABIP.295
norm.295*
lg avg .295 .000vs his norm +.031 BABIP is above his ~.264 normexpect it to fall.
281 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
14.3%*
lg avg 11.0% +3.3%vs his norm —
416 / 50 PA
Chase %32.2%
32.2%*
lg avg 28.5% +3.7%vs his norm —
416 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 14.9%→13.8%signal1 HR — Barrel% 14.9% (signal) tempered to career ~12.4% → projected 13.8%.
BABIP 0.295→0.282 regressednoise.241 AVG — BABIP 0.295 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.268) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup7 R — his run rate over ~44 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~44 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 53 G) over ~44 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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