85 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brian Serven
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.278); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Serven is a hold — average profile, nothing unstable underneath
ROS projects AVG .250 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.278)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.5 mphvs his norm —
59 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %30.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.5%vs his norm —
59 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —Barrel % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
59 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.278
lg avg .315 ▼−.037vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 160 PA
wOBA.261
lg avg .315 ▼−.054vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
85 / 60 PA
Walk %4.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 120 PA
BABIP.167
lg avg .295 ▼−.128vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
59 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
85 / 50 PA
Chase %31.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
85 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.5%→8.4%noise0 HR — Barrel% 8.5% (noise) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.4%.
BABIP 0.167→0.284 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.167 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.293 (xBA 0.220) → 0.284.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.