Zack Gelof

Gelof is a hold — the skill sits right at league average.

His expected wOBA is .323, within eight points of the league average of .315, and at 435 plate appearances the sample is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His contact quality backs up a modest edge rather than a breakout: 89.7 mph average exit velocity against a league mark of 89.0, a 42.8% hard-hit rate against 40%, and 10.7% barrels against 8%. His actual wOBA of .346 runs above his expected figure, so some of that production has come from bounces. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which is the one encouraging piece. The swing-and-miss is a little high — 24.6% strikeouts and 13.6% swinging strikes — but his chase rate at 25.3% is better than league. Nothing here is unstable in either direction, so there is no edge to trade. Hold.