369 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Zack Gelof
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.311); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .216R 5RBI 5SB 2
Gelof is a hold — nothing here is pulling in either direction.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .259 YTD → .216 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.4%—−0.5% ▼vs his ~9.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
244 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
244 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm −0.5% ▼
244 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.311
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —
369 / 160 PA
wOBA.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —
369 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —
369 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
369 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
lg avg .295 ▲+.009vs his norm −.005 ▼BABIP is below his ~.309 norm — expect it to rise.
244 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
369 / 50 PA
Chase %24.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
369 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.4%→9.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.4% (signal) lifted to career ~9.9% → projected 9.6%.
BABIP 0.304→0.275 regressednoise.216 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.262 (xBA 0.229) → 0.275.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~38 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~38 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (6 in 43 G) over ~38 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.