Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryZack
16HR ←10
65R ←43
35RBI →39
0SB →12
.235AVG ←.228
Current Season
MaxCategoryZack
14HR ←6
39R ←21
21RBI ←19
0SB →6
.253AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Muncy
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.388, +0.073 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Max Muncy: 16 HR / 65 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).