Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryJosh
8HR →13
53R ←44
45RBI →51
8SB ←2
.210AVG →.236
Current Season
ChristianCategoryJosh
4HR →5
21R →28
18RBI →32
3SB ←1
.275AVG ←.225
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. Josh Bell: 13 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).