Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryDominic
8HR →14
52R ←37
45RBI →47
7SB ←2
.212AVG →.269
Current Season
ChristianCategoryDominic
4HR →7
21R ←18
18RBI →23
3SB ←1
.275AVG ←.248
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.392 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.289 is 0.065 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dominic Canzone
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.365)
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 52 R. Dominic Canzone: 14 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).