week 11
this weekHOLD
last week—
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.40)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
52 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.292
lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 200 TBF
xERA3.40
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.70vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
85 / 200 TBF
ERA3.86
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.24vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
21 / 200 IP
Strikeout %29.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.4%vs his norm +3.4% ▲
85 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm +0.2% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.2% norm — expect it to fall.
85 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.300
lg avg .295 ▲+.005vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
52 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 29.4%→27.0%signal40 K — K% 29.4% (signal) tempered to career ~26.0% → projected 27.0% over ~36 remaining…
xERA 3.40noise3.69 ERA — xERA 3.40 (noise) blended 2% skill / 98% league 3.70 at 22 IP.
BB% 9.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.27 skill WHIP, blended 2%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.69 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.