Rest of Season Projection
BrockCategoryTommy
38K →39
3.75ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
BrockCategoryTommy
27K ←26
3.62ERA ←3.68
1.39WHIP →1.18
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.49 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Tommy Nance
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.49)
Burke projects 38 K/3.75 ERA vs Nance's 39 K/3.70 ERA. Nearly identical ratios; the sell-high call on Burke diverges from Nance's hold.