MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Gabriel Hughes
COL · P
Change to
Tommy Nance
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Gabriel Hughes wins 1 (ERA); Tommy Nance wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
92.4
Tommy Nance
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
9.9%
Tommy Nance
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
19.8%
Tommy Nance
26.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
26.6%
Tommy Nance
34.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
32.0%
Tommy Nance
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
6.0%
Tommy Nance
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
.305
Tommy Nance
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabriel Hughes
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.84
Tommy Nance
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.68
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Gabriel Hughes
.9001.50
now 1.00
1.36
Tommy Nance
.9001.50
now 1.18
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabriel Hughes
4036.40
now 1
0
Tommy Nance
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Gabriel Hughes
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Tommy Nance
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowGabriel Hughes — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellTommy Nance — sell.conf 0.66
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