MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Gabriel Hughes
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Blubaugh wins 1 (WHIP); Gabriel Hughes wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.8
Gabriel Hughes
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.7%
Gabriel Hughes
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
23.4%
Gabriel Hughes
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
28.8%
Gabriel Hughes
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
37.0%
Gabriel Hughes
32.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
10.3%
Gabriel Hughes
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.317
Gabriel Hughes
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
26.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
4.07
Gabriel Hughes
26.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.84
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
.9001.50
now 1.31
1.32
Gabriel Hughes
.9001.50
now 1.00
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4039.20
now 28
0
Gabriel Hughes
4039.20
now 1
0
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Gabriel Hughes
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAJ Blubaugh — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
Buy LowGabriel Hughes — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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