Who's more valuable, rest of season
Elvis Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Gabriel Hughes’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Elvis Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Gabriel Hughes wins 2 (ERA, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.8
Gabriel Hughes
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
16.1%
Gabriel Hughes
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
28.2%
Gabriel Hughes
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
29.6%
Gabriel Hughes
25.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
48.7%
Gabriel Hughes
29.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
14.8%
Gabriel Hughes
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.327
Gabriel Hughes
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Gabriel Hughes
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.54
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.20
now 1.86
1.24
Gabriel Hughes
.9002.20
now 1.00
1.36
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4014.60
now 9
4
Gabriel Hughes
4014.60
now 1
3
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–1
Gabriel Hughes
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0005.60
now 0
0
Gabriel Hughes
.0005.60
now 1
1–4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
BuyGabriel Hughes — buy.conf 0.77