MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Kody Clemens
332 PA · week 17
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD

Kody Clemens

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.336, +0.021 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64
ROSHR 5AVG .239R 20RBI 17SB 5

Clemens is a buy — elite contact, no luck, all real.

His contact quality has been stepping up across the sample and it is now elite: 92.6 mph exit velocity, 46.1% hard-hit rate, and 12.6% barrel rate — all well above league averages and well past the 60 BBE threshold where these numbers become reliable. His expected wOBA is .336, 21 points above league, and his actual wOBA matches it exactly at .336. No BABIP mirage here. He walks less than league average and swings and misses more, but the bat-to-ball skill is producing quality contact. The strikeouts are not a problem when the output is this good. The performance is earned and the sample supports it. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %12.6%+2.9%vs his ~9.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.336, +0.021 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.6 mph
92.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +3.6 mphvs his norm —
230 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.1%
46.1%*
lg avg 40.0% +6.1%vs his norm —
230 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.6%
norm12.6%*
lg avg 8.0% +4.6%vs his norm +2.9%
230 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.336
believable since May 26.336*
lg avg .315 +.021vs his norm —
332 / 160 PA
wOBA.336
.336*
lg avg .315 +.021vs his norm —
332 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.6%
22.6%*
lg avg 22.0% +0.6%vs his norm —
332 / 60 PA
Walk %6.6%
6.6%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.9%vs his norm —
332 / 120 PA
BABIP.269
norm.269*
lg avg .295 −.026vs his norm +.026 BABIP is above his ~.243 normexpect it to fall.
230 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
12.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +1.8%vs his norm —
332 / 50 PA
Chase %31.9%
31.9%*
lg avg 28.5% +3.4%vs his norm —
332 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.6%→11.3%signal5 HR — Barrel% 12.6% (signal) tempered to career ~9.7% → projected 11.3%.
BABIP 0.269→0.290 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.269 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.298 (xBA 0.255) → 0.290.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~179 projected PA.
slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~179 projected PA.
run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (5 in 49 G) over ~179 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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