MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Kody Clemens
583 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD

Kody Clemens

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Clemens is a buy — the contact is climbing and the skills back it

The hard-hit rate is up to 46.1% against a league average of 40.0%, and it has been stepping up across the season. That is the part that stabilizes fastest — 410 batted balls is well past the point where contact quality becomes reliable — and it is improving, not flattening. His expected wOBA is .334, nineteen points above league average, and the sample is nearly four times what that number needs. His actual wOBA sits at .327, close enough that luck is not doing the work here. The strikeout rate is 21.8%, right on the league mark, so there is no hole in the profile to worry about. He is hitting the ball harder and better each week, and the results have caught up. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %11.2%—+1.5% ▲vs his ~9.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.9 mph
91.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —
410 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.1%
46.1%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
410 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.2%
norm11.2%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm +1.5% ▲
410 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.334
believable since May 26.334*
lg avg .315 ▲+.019vs his norm —
583 / 160 PA
wOBA.327
.327*
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —
583 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.8%
21.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
583 / 60 PA
Walk %6.7%
6.7%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —
583 / 120 PA
BABIP.263
norm.263*
lg avg .295 ▼−.032vs his norm +.020 ▲BABIP is above his ~.243 norm — expect it to fall.
410 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
12.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
583 / 50 PA
Chase %32.6%
32.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
583 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.2%→10.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 11.2% (signal) tempered to career ~9.7% → projected 10.7%.
BABIP 0.263→0.279 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.263 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.254) → 0.279.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (5 in 49 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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