MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Kody Clemens
518 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD

Kody Clemens

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.65
ROSHR 1AVG .226R 5RBI 4SB 1

Clemens is a buy — the contact is real and climbing.

His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, now at 47.1% against a league average of 40%, and the trend line is going one direction. His expected wOBA is .340, .025 above league, and at 518 plate appearances the number is reliable. His actual wOBA is .331, a touch below the expected mark, so there is no padded line to give back. The contact quality backs the whole thing up: 92.4 mph average exit velocity, 12% barrels, both well above league. The strikeout rate is near league and the walk rate is a little low, neither of which changes the read. He is hitting the ball like a better player than the surface line has shown so far. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %12.0%+2.3%vs his ~9.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.4 mph
92.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +3.4 mphvs his norm —
359 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.1%
47.1%*
lg avg 40.0% +7.1%vs his norm —
359 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.0%
norm12.0%*
lg avg 8.0% +4.0%vs his norm +2.3%
359 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.340
believable since May 26.340*
lg avg .315 +.025vs his norm —
518 / 160 PA
wOBA.331
.331*
lg avg .315 +.016vs his norm —
518 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.4%
22.4%*
lg avg 22.0% +0.4%vs his norm —
518 / 60 PA
Walk %6.9%
6.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.6%vs his norm —
518 / 120 PA
BABIP.262
norm.262*
lg avg .295 −.033vs his norm +.019 BABIP is above his ~.243 normexpect it to fall.
359 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
12.3%*
lg avg 11.0% +1.4%vs his norm —
518 / 50 PA
Chase %32.4%
32.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +3.9%vs his norm —
518 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.0%→11.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 12.0% (signal) tempered to career ~9.7% → projected 11.2%.
BABIP 0.262→0.282 regressednoise.226 AVG — BABIP 0.262 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.298 (xBA 0.255) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (5 in 49 G) over ~40 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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