week 25
this weekHOLD
last week—
Travis Adams
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.23); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–1SV 0–1
Adams is a hold — league average, nothing forcing a move
ROS projects K 13 YTD → 5 ROS, WHIP 1.55 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.9%—+5.3% ▲vs his ~20.6% career norm
- Walk %10.2%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~10.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.23)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.3%vs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
126 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
197 / 200 TBF
xERA4.23
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.13vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
197 / 200 TBF
ERA5.52
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.42vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
45.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm +5.3% ▲
197 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm −0.1% ▼
197 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.305
lg avg .295 ▲+.010vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
126 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —
197 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
197 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —
768 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.9%→23.2%signal5 K — K% 25.9% (signal) tempered to career ~20.6% → projected 23.2% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 4.23noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.23 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 11 IP.
BB% 10.2% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.37 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0-1 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.