Is Brooks Lee a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Brooks Lee's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .276 hides behind .320 — contact won't hold

560 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Brooks Lee

MIN·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Sell stable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63

ROSHR 0AVG .208R 5RBI 6SB 1

Lee is a sell — the bat plays below league and there's no luck behind it.

His expected wOBA is .276, which is .039 below the league average of .315, and he has 560 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .320, barely above league, not inflated by a hot BABIP that would have to give anything back, so there's no bad-luck story either. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, getting worse rather than better. He strikes out in 15.9% of plate appearances, well below league. That low strikeout rate, though, hasn't translated into contact quality: his hard-hit rate is 34.1%, compared to 40.0% league, barrel rate 4.1%, and average exit velocity 88.3 mph. The cleanup path is weak. The plate discipline limits the floor, but it doesn't create skill that isn't there. You're not selling the number as it is — you're selling the name. Sell. With a 0 HR / 5 R / 6 RBI / 1 SB / .208 AVG projection, he's a waiver-wire drop, not a rotational hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.1%—−1.2% ▼vs his ~5.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —

434 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —

434 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −1.2% ▼

434 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.276

lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —

560 / 160 PA

wOBA.320

lg avg .315 ▲+.005vs his norm —

560 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —

560 / 60 PA

Walk %6.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —

560 / 120 PA

BABIP.261

lg avg .295 ▼−.034vs his norm +.007 ▲BABIP is above his ~.254 norm — expect it to fall.

434 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

560 / 50 PA

Chase %34.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —

560 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.1%→4.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~5.3% → projected 4.5%.

BABIP 0.261→0.252 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.261 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.242 (xBA 0.227) → 0.252.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.

slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 57 G) over ~42 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons