Is Brooks Lee a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Brooks Lee's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .281 but wOBA .316 — contact masking the gap

631 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekSELL

Brooks Lee

MIN·3B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Sell stable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.62

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Lee is a sell — the contact is below league and trending down

His batted-ball quality is what drives this, and it sits under the league line across the board: 88.1 mph average exit velocity, a 34.2% hard-hit rate, and 4.5% barrels. None of those is close to league average, and he has 488 batted balls, well past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. His expected wOBA of .281 sits .034 below the league average of .315, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample — the trend is not pointing back toward average. His actual wOBA of .316 looks fine on its own, but that gap over his expected number is the reason not to trust the surface. He walks just 5.9% of the time and chases 35.1% of pitches, so he is not earning his way on base. There is no luck story to fall back on; this is the level he is at. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG on the ROS line makes this a waiver drop, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.5%—−0.8% ▼vs his ~5.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.9 mphvs his norm —

488 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —

488 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm −0.8% ▼

488 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.281

lg avg .315 ▼−.034vs his norm —

631 / 160 PA

wOBA.316

lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —

631 / 200 PA

Strikeout %16.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —

631 / 60 PA

Walk %5.9%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —

631 / 120 PA

BABIP.268

lg avg .295 ▼−.027vs his norm +.014 ▲BABIP is above his ~.254 norm — expect it to fall.

488 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —

631 / 50 PA

Chase %35.1%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —

631 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.5%→4.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.5% (signal) lifted to career ~5.3% → projected 4.7%.

BABIP 0.268→0.261 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.268 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.250 (xBA 0.233) → 0.261.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons