MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Luke Keaschall
549 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL

Luke Keaschall

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from SELL on September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.316); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .252HR 0R 5RBI 4SB 2

Keaschall is a hold — average skill, no luck pulling either way.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .244 YTD → .252 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.5%−1.7%vs his ~5.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.6 mph
85.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.4 mphvs his norm —
395 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.4%
29.4%*
lg avg 40.0% −10.6%vs his norm —
395 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.5%
norm3.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.5%vs his norm −1.7%
395 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
.316*
lg avg .315 +.001vs his norm —
549 / 160 PA
wOBA.340
.340*
lg avg .315 +.025vs his norm —
549 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.8%
14.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.2%vs his norm —
549 / 60 PA
Walk %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.2%vs his norm —
549 / 120 PA
BABIP.312
norm.312*
lg avg .295 +.017vs his norm −.028 BABIP is below his ~.340 normexpect it to rise.
395 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.1%
7.1%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.9%vs his norm —
549 / 50 PA
Chase %22.9%
22.9%*
lg avg 28.5% −5.6%vs his norm —
549 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.5%→4.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.5% (signal) lifted to career ~5.2% → projected 4.1%.
BABIP 0.312→0.297 regressednoise.252 AVG — BABIP 0.312 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.283 (xBA 0.243) → 0.297.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (10 in 56 G) over ~42 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups