620 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL
Luke Keaschall
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL on October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322) — BABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Keaschall is a hold — league-average skill, contact that undercuts it.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .244 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.8%—−1.4% ▼vs his ~5.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.6 mphvs his norm —
451 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.0%vs his norm —
451 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm −1.4% ▼
451 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.322
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —
620 / 160 PA
wOBA.348
lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —
620 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm —
620 / 60 PA
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
620 / 120 PA
BABIP.317
lg avg .295 ▲+.022vs his norm −.023 ▼BABIP is below his ~.340 norm — expect it to rise.
451 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
620 / 50 PA
Chase %22.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
620 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.8%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.8% (signal) lifted to career ~5.2% → projected 4.2%.
BABIP 0.317→0.306 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.317 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.292 (xBA 0.251) → 0.306.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (10 in 56 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.