Yoendrys Gómez
Gómez is a sell — the expected ERA says the skill isn't there.
His xERA is 5.51, a run and a half above the league average of 4.10, and his sample of 297 batters faced is past the point where that number becomes reliable. Nothing underneath is holding the ERA down by luck. He walks 13.1% of batters — five points above league — and that rate is stable, so the free passes are a skill problem, not noise. His xwOBA allowed is .355, well above the league average of .315, and opposing hitters are making hard contact against him at a 43.7% clip. He does miss bats at an above-league 12.3%, but the velo and the swings don't translate into outs. The xERA has been stepping up across the sample, so the trend points the wrong way. This is the level he is pitching at. Sell. A 4.88 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with 0 K is fringe waiver filler — drop him and stream the roster spot instead.
VS His Norm
- Walk %13.1%—+2.8% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm
- Strikeout %21.9%—+0.7% ▲vs his ~21.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.51 +1.41 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.