Is Yoendrys Gómez a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell High — surface results exceed what the underlying metrics support; sell into the hype.

What is Yoendrys Gómez's rest-of-season outlook?

3.50 ERA hides a 5.18 xERA and 12.4% walk rate.

week 25

this weekSELL-HIGH

last weekSELL-HIGH

Yoendrys Gómez

MIN·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Sell High luck-free xERA 5.18 is 1.68 above the ERA, regression coming — BABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable, flattering the ERA; sell into the hype before regression.high 0.95

ROSK 5ERA 4.66WHIP 1.42W 0–0SV 0–1

Gómez is a sell-high — his ERA is running on borrowed BABIP.

His ERA reads 3.5, but the expected ERA tells the truth at 5.18 — that is a run and a half gap, and the difference is his BABIP-against. It sits at .255 against a league average of .295, and BABIP-against needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable. He has 173. That gap is luck, not skill. His xERA has stepped up across the sample, and his strikeout rate is 21.4%, just below league, with a walk rate of 12.4% — well above the 8% average. Nothing under the hood supports the surface. The talent is not pulling the line down; the luck is holding it up. Sell high. A 4.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP rest-of-season is a drop, not a hold — sell the window before regression lands.

VS His Norm

Walk %12.4%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm
Strikeout %21.4%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~21.2% career norm

Drivers

babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 1.68 above the ERA — regression coming

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed44.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —

173 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed8.7%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —

173 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.347

lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —

266 / 200 TBF

xERA5.18

lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.08vs his norm —

266 / 200 TBF

ERA3.50

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.60vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

61.7 / 200 IP

Strikeout %21.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm +0.2% ▲

266 / 70 TBF

Walk %12.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm +2.1% ▲

266 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.255

lg avg .295 ▼−.040vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

173 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —

266 / 60 TBF

Chase %27.6%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —

266 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo95.9 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.9 mphvs his norm —

1022 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 21.4%→21.3%signal5 K — K% 21.4% (signal) tempered to career ~21.2% → projected 21.3% over ~5 remaining IP.

xERA 5.18signal4.66 ERA — xERA 5.18 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 29 IP.

BB% 12.4% + contactsignal1.42 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.286 gives a 1.51 skill WHIP, blended 6…

run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (closer)0-1 SV — role: closer.

rosterdrop4 SV, 4.66 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons