Is Ryan Kreidler a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Ryan Kreidler's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .288 sits 27 points below league average

236 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekNO CALL

Ryan Kreidler

MIN·SS

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

new call as of September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .178R 6RBI 5SB 0

Kreidler is a sell — the bat plays below league, no luck involved

His expected wOBA is .288, .027 below the league average of .315, and he has 236 plate appearances — past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .286, almost identical, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. The contact quality agrees: 88.0 mph average exit velocity and a 37.0% hard-hit rate, both under the league mark. What stands out is his 16.4% swinging-strike rate against a league average of 11.0%, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down as the sample has grown. There is no slump waiting to break here and no suppressed BABIP to give back. This is the level. Sell. A 0 HR / 6 R / 5 RBI / 0 SB / .178 AVG line is waiver-wire drag — drop him, not a deep-league hold.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —

165 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %37.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —

165 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —

165 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.288

lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —

236 / 160 PA

wOBA.286

lg avg .315 ▼−.029vs his norm —

236 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.0%

lg avg 22.0% 0.0%vs his norm —

236 / 60 PA

Walk %7.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

236 / 120 PA

BABIP.259

lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm +.029 ▲BABIP is above his ~.230 norm — expect it to fall.

165 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %16.4%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —

236 / 50 PA

Chase %29.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

236 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.9%→7.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.9% (signal) held to league ~8.0% → projected 7.9%.

BABIP 0.259→0.236 regressednoise.178 AVG — BABIP 0.259 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.218) → 0.236.

on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~31 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~31 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 20 G) over ~31 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons