Is Ryan Kreidler a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Ryan Kreidler's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .295 with 88.3 mph exit — nothing loud here

267 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekNO CALL

Ryan Kreidler

MIN·SS

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

new call as of October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Kreidler is a sell — the bat is below league and trending down.

His expected wOBA is .295, .020 below the league average of .315, and it has stepped down across the sample rather than climbing toward the league. His actual wOBA is .293, almost identical, so there is no unlucky gap waiting to close — the line is telling the truth about the bat. His contact quality backs that up: 88.3 mph average exit velocity, below the 89.0 league mark, and a 37.2% hard-hit rate under the 40.0% average. His swinging-strike rate is 15.8% against an 11.0% league average, a real hole that caps the upside. What he does is hit the ball at roughly the level the numbers show, with a contact flaw on top. That is not a slump to buy into; it is the player. Sell. With 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG in the ROS table, that's waiver fodder — drop, no hesitation.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —

183 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %37.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —

183 / 50 BBE

Barrel %8.2%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —

183 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.295

lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —

267 / 160 PA

wOBA.293

lg avg .315 ▼−.022vs his norm —

267 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

267 / 60 PA

Walk %7.9%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

267 / 120 PA

BABIP.259

lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm +.029 ▲BABIP is above his ~.230 norm — expect it to fall.

183 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %15.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —

267 / 50 PA

Chase %28.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —

267 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 8.2%→8.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 8.2% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.2%.

BABIP 0.259→0.240 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.259 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.234 (xBA 0.221) → 0.240.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 20 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons