91 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Alan Roden
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.351); BABIP 0.318 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Roden is a hold — league average, nothing unstable pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .286 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.4%—+2.4% ▲vs his ~2.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.351)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.0 mphvs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm +2.4% ▲
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.351
lg avg .315 ▲+.036vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
91 / 160 PA
wOBA.332
lg avg .315 ▲+.017vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
91 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.8%vs his norm —
91 / 60 PA
Walk %12.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
91 / 120 PA
BABIP.318
lg avg .295 ▲+.023vs his norm +.078 ▲BABIP is above his ~.240 norm — expect it to fall.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
91 / 50 PA
Chase %25.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
91 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→2.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) tempered to career ~2.0% → projected 2.6%.
BABIP 0.318→0.375 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.318 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.290) → 0.375.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.