Is Austin Martin a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Austin Martin's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

335 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Austin Martin

MIN·RF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

ON THE 10-DAY IL

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.311); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .233HR 0R 5RBI 4SB 2

Martin is a hold — average line, no instability either way.

His expected wOBA is .311, against a league average of .315, and he has 335 plate appearances — past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .315, so there is no gap between what he has done and what his contact says he should have done. Nothing here is being propped up or dragged down by luck. The profile underneath is strange but balanced: he makes a lot of contact, striking out 17.9% of the time and swinging at just 18% of pitches outside the zone, both far better than league. But the contact is soft — 87 mph average exit velocity and a 29.3% hard-hit rate, with barrels at 3.1%. The discipline and the weak contact wash out to league average, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down. Hold. 0 HR / 5 R / 4 RBI / 2 SB / .233 AVG the rest of the way is waiver-wire drag: hold only as a deep-league bench filler, not a starter.

VS His Norm

Barrel %3.1%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~2.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.311)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.0 mphvs his norm —

225 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %29.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.7%vs his norm —

225 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm +0.2% ▲

225 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.311

lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —

335 / 160 PA

wOBA.315

lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —

335 / 200 PA

Strikeout %17.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —

335 / 60 PA

Walk %12.8%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —

335 / 120 PA

BABIP.293

lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm −.034 ▼BABIP is below his ~.327 norm — expect it to rise.

225 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %7.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —

335 / 50 PA

Chase %18.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−10.5%vs his norm —

335 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.1%→3.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) tempered to career ~2.9% → projected 3.0%.

BABIP 0.293→0.279 regressednoise.233 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.240) → 0.279.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.

slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (8 in 54 G) over ~40 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons