272 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Austin Martin
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.317); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .241HR 1R 20RBI 16SB 7
Martin is a hold — league average with nothing to exploit.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .262 YTD → .241 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.2%—−0.7% ▼vs his ~2.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.0 mphvs his norm —
182 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.0%vs his norm —
182 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm −0.7% ▼
182 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —
272 / 160 PA
wOBA.317
lg avg .315 ▲+.002vs his norm —
272 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
272 / 60 PA
Walk %13.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
272 / 120 PA
BABIP.306
lg avg .295 ▲+.011vs his norm −.021 ▼BABIP is below his ~.327 norm — expect it to rise.
182 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA
Chase %17.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−10.9%vs his norm —
272 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.2%→2.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 2.2% (signal) lifted to career ~2.9% → projected 2.6%.
BABIP 0.306→0.288 regressednoise.241 AVG — BABIP 0.306 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.247) → 0.288.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~177 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~177 projected PA.
run rate / role7 SB — his steal rate (8 in 54 G) over ~177 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.