MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Daniel Susac
161 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Daniel Susac

SF·C
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 60-DAY IL
new call
Sell stable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59
ROSHR 0AVG .244R 2RBI 6SB 0

Susac is a sell — the bat is below league and getting worse

His expected wOBA is .296, .019 below the league average of .315, and the number is past the point where it becomes reliable. Nothing in his profile points to bad luck dragging it down — the contact quality is weak on its own terms. He averages 86.3 mph off the bat, nearly three mph below league, with a 32.5% hard-hit rate against a league average of 40%. That is not a slump; that is the level he is hitting at. The trend is not his friend either: his expected wOBA has stepped down across the sample. He compounds it by chasing 41.8% of pitches outside the zone, well above the league mark, which caps his on-base chances. There is no luck to give back and no skill spike coming. Sell. For a 0 HR / 2 R / 6 RBI / 0 SB / .244 AVG line, that's a streaming-only drag — drop him.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.3 mph
86.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.7 mphvs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.5%
32.5%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.5%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.3%
5.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.296
.296*
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —
161 / 160 PA
wOBA.290
.290*
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
161 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.4%
22.4%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
161 / 60 PA
Walk %5.0%
5.0%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
161 / 120 PA
BABIP.294
.294*
lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.2%
13.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
161 / 50 PA
Chase %41.8%
41.8%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+13.3%vs his norm —
161 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.3%→5.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.294→0.318 regressednoise.244 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.322 (xBA 0.249) → 0.318.
on-base + lineup2 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 22 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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