Is Daniel Susac a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Daniel Susac's rest-of-season outlook?

86.3 mph exit velo and 32.5% hard-hit can't carry a catcher.

161 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekNO CALL

Daniel Susac

SF·C

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

ON THE 60-DAY IL

new call

Sell stable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Susac is a sell — the bat is a step behind the league

He is averaging 86.3 mph off the bat, nearly three mph below the league average of 89.0, with 114 batted balls behind it — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The hard-hit rate tells the same story: 32.5% against a league average of 40.0%, and his barrel rate of 5.3% is short of the 8.0% mark. His expected wOBA is .296, .019 below the league average of .315, and his actual line tracks it, so there is no bad luck dragging him down. The plate discipline makes it worse, not better — a 5.0% walk rate half the league mark and a 41.8% chase rate far above it. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. This is the level he's at. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line makes him a drop — fringe waiver filler, streaming-only at catcher.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.7 mphvs his norm —

114 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %32.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.5%vs his norm —

114 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —

114 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.296

lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —

161 / 160 PA

wOBA.290

lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.

161 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —

161 / 60 PA

Walk %5.0%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —

161 / 120 PA

BABIP.294

lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

114 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —

161 / 50 PA

Chase %41.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+13.3%vs his norm —

161 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.3%→5.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.8%.

BABIP 0.294→0.318 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.322 (xBA 0.249) → 0.318.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 22 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons