243 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Angel Martínez
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.306); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .223R 22RBI 26SB 7
Martínez is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 9 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .243 YTD → .223 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.9%—+4.9% ▲vs his ~3.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
178 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm —
178 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm +4.9% ▲
178 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —
243 / 160 PA
wOBA.310
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —
243 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
243 / 60 PA
Walk %2.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.6%vs his norm —
243 / 120 PA
BABIP.264
lg avg .295 ▼−.031vs his norm −.007 ▼BABIP is below his ~.271 norm — expect it to rise.
178 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
243 / 50 PA
Chase %43.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+15.2%vs his norm —
243 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.9%→5.3%signal3 HR — Barrel% 7.9% (signal) tempered to career ~3.0% → projected 5.3%.
BABIP 0.264→0.273 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.264 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.275 (xBA 0.254) → 0.273.
on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~180 projected PA.
slugging + lineup26 RBI — his RBI rate over ~180 projected PA.
run rate / role7 SB — his steal rate (8 in 55 G) over ~180 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.