Is Angel Martínez a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Angel Martínez's rest-of-season outlook?

87 mph exit velo, 36% hard-hit — contact won't hold

369 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Angel Martínez

CLE·LF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58

ROSAVG .222HR 0R 5RBI 6SB 2

Martínez is a sell — the bat is below league and not unlucky.

His expected wOBA is .299, .016 below the league average of .315, and he has 369 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .310, essentially tracking it, so there is no bad-luck story to explain the gap. The contact backs up the skill reading: 87.4 mph average exit velocity and a 35.7% hard-hit rate, both below league. What stands out is the approach — he chases 42.1% of pitches outside the zone, nearly 14 points above league, and walks only 3.3% of the time. That combination limits how much his bat can play, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. This is the level he is at. Sell. 0 HR / 5 R / 6 RBI / 2 SB / .222 AVG ROS makes him waiver fodder — drop the fringe bat.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.1%—+4.1% ▲vs his ~3.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —

267 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %35.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —

267 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm +4.1% ▲

267 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.299

lg avg .315 ▼−.016vs his norm —

369 / 160 PA

wOBA.310

lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —

369 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —

369 / 60 PA

Walk %3.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —

369 / 120 PA

BABIP.283

lg avg .295 ▼−.012vs his norm +.012 ▲BABIP is above his ~.271 norm — expect it to fall.

267 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —

369 / 50 PA

Chase %42.1%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+13.6%vs his norm —

369 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.1%→5.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.1% (signal) tempered to career ~3.0% → projected 5.4%.

BABIP 0.283→0.275 regressednoise.222 AVG — BABIP 0.283 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.271 (xBA 0.251) → 0.275.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~40 projected PA.

slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~40 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (8 in 55 G) over ~40 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons