MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Walbert Ureña
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Walbert Ureña

LAA·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Ureña is a sell-high — his xERA tells the real story.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.89

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.30 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.5%
32.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL126 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.3%
6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL126 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.289
.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026too early to trust
NOISE194 / 200 TBF
xERA3.30
3.30
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.80too early to trust
NOISE194 / 200 TBF
ERA2.44
2.44
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.66too early to trust
NOISE44.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.1%
21.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL194 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.9%
12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL194 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.268
.268
lg avg .295 ▼−.027too early to trust
NOISE126 / 800 BIP