Is Gunnar Henderson a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Gunnar Henderson's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

439 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekSELL

Gunnar Henderson

BAL·SS

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from SELL on July 18, 2026

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.308); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSHR 5AVG .208R 23RBI 24SB 5

Henderson is a hold — all metrics near league average.

Gunnar Henderson's expected wOBA is .308, within seven points of league average, and with 439 plate appearances it is stable. His actual wOBA is .305, essentially matching xwOBA, so there's no luck gap. His contact quality is also near league territory: average exit velocity 89.7 mph, hard-hit rate 44.7%, and barrel rate 7.3%, all within a percentage point or two of the league mean. The strikeout rate, walk rate, swing-and-miss, and chase rates all sit close to league averages as well. The xwOBA trajectory has been stepping down through the sample, confirming that what you see now is the level. No signal to buy or sell here. Hold. 5 HR / 23 R / 24 RBI / 5 SB / .208 AVG: a drop-tier asset, but the hold verdict says stay pat in deep leagues only.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.3%—−3.1% ▼vs his ~10.4% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —

300 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %44.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —

300 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm −3.1% ▼

300 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.308

lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —

439 / 160 PA

wOBA.305

lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —

439 / 200 PA

Strikeout %22.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

439 / 60 PA

Walk %7.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

439 / 120 PA

BABIP.254

lg avg .295 ▼−.041vs his norm −.065 ▼BABIP is below his ~.319 norm — expect it to rise.

300 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.4%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —

439 / 50 PA

Chase %32.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —

439 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.3%→8.5%signal5 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (signal) lifted to career ~10.4% → projected 8.5%.

BABIP 0.254→0.267 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.254 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.239) → 0.267.

on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~205 projected PA.

slugging + lineup24 RBI — his RBI rate over ~205 projected PA.

run rate / role5 SB — his steal rate (6 in 59 G) over ~205 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons