MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · SS
Change to
Portrait of Jeremy Peña
Jeremy Peña
HOU · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jeremy Peña.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Gunnar Henderson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jeremy Peña wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Gunnar Henderson wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
89.6
Jeremy Peña
87.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
44.2%
Jeremy Peña
38.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
7.3%
Jeremy Peña
4.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Gunnar Henderson
32.4%
Jeremy Peña
33.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Gunnar Henderson
11.4%
Jeremy Peña
14.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
.306
Jeremy Peña
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .219
.207
Jeremy Peña
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .272
.283

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
517.40
now 13
5
Jeremy Peña
517.40
now 3
2
Runshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
2037.40
now 31
23
Jeremy Peña
2037.40
now 15
25
RBIhigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
2041.60
now 32
24
Jeremy Peña
2041.60
now 8
13
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
1.807.20
now 6
4
Jeremy Peña
1.807.20
now 3
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGunnar Henderson — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyJeremy Peña — hold.conf 0.60
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