483 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jeremy Peña
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.326) — BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Peña is a hold — league average with a lucky average to give back
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .272 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.2%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —
334 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
334 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
334 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —
483 / 160 PA
wOBA.347
lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —
483 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
483 / 60 PA
Walk %5.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —
483 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
lg avg .295 ▲+.032vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.322 norm — expect it to fall.
334 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —
483 / 50 PA
Chase %39.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+10.8%vs his norm —
483 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.2%→6.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.2% (signal) tempered to career ~5.8% → projected 6.7%.
BABIP 0.327→0.306 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.292 (xBA 0.268) → 0.306.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 23 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.