HOU
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy4
- 1
xwOBA .447, 16% barrels — contact can't get louder.
Buyconf 0.86 - 2
4.32 ERA hides 3.27 xERA, 6.5% walk rate
Buyconf 0.85 - 3
96.2 mph fastball fuels 3.52 xERA.
Buyconf 0.77 - 4
xERA 3.65 beats the 4.1 league; ERA matches exactly.
Buyconf 0.73
Buy-Low2
- 1
5.79 ERA, 3.89 xERA — .375 BABIP inflates it
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
62% hard-hit with .232 BABIP; strikeouts the only drag
Buy Lowconf 0.71
Sell-High7
- 1
3.15 ERA hides 3.95 xERA — BABIP flattering him .261
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 2
14% strikeout rate can't survive .235 BABIP regression
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 3
2.13 ERA masks a 3.10 xERA and .230 BABIP luck
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 4
0.181 BABIP against won't hold; ERA 0.89 vs xERA 1.77
Sell Highconf 0.90 - 5
16.3% walk rate undermines that 29% strikeout stuff.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 6
Hard-Hit 24.8% — Barrosa's contact can't support the surface line.
Sell Highconf 0.67 - 7
xwOBA .252 with 28% hard-hit — contact is a mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.67
Sell7
- 1
27.9% K rate undercut by 14.9% walks, xERA 4.78
Sellconf 0.75 - 2
22.9% hard-hit at catcher — zero power ceiling.
Sellconf 0.70 - 3
31.4% strikeouts with .260 xwOBA: no contact floor.
Sellconf 0.66 - 4
85.5 mph exit velo, 4.5% barrels — Altuve's bat has gone soft
Sellconf 0.63 - 5
31% strikeout rate, and 87.8 mph exit velo can't save it.
Sellconf 0.61 - 6
86.8 mph exit velo drags .292 xwOBA down
Sellconf 0.60 - 7
Contact-first catcher with 5.9% barrels and a .300 xwOBA
Sellconf 0.58
12 more players · league average or insufficient sample · expand to view
- Bryan KingPHoldsteady
- Cam SmithRFHoldsteady
- Carlos CorreaON THE 60-DAY ILSSHoldwait & see
- Christian Walker1BHoldleans sell
- Cristian JavierPHoldleans sell
- Hayden WesneskiPHoldwait & see
- Isaac Paredes3BHoldsteady
- Jeremy PeñaSSHoldleans buy
- LaMonte Wade Jr.LFHoldwait & see
- Miguel UllolaPNo Call Yet
- Mike BurrowsON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldleans sell
- Ronel BlancoPHoldwait & see