week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Steven Okert
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.57); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 18WHIP 1.24ERA 3.64W 0–0SV 0
Okert is a hold — league-average with stable contact suppression.
ROS projects K 22 YTD → 18 ROS, WHIP 0.96 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %6.8%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~9.1% career norm
- Strikeout %26.6%—+0.0% ▲vs his ~26.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.57)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed28.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.6%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.251
lg avg .315 ▼−.064vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
177 / 200 TBF
xERA2.57
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.53vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
177 / 200 TBF
ERA2.31
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.79vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
46.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.6%vs his norm +0.0% ▲
177 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm −2.3% ▼
177 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.200
lg avg .295 ▼−.095vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
177 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.6 mphvs his norm —
709 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 26.6%→26.6%signal18 K — K% 26.6% (signal) tempered to career ~26.6% → projected 26.6% over ~22 remaining…
xERA 2.57noise3.64 ERA — xERA 2.57 (noise) blended 5% skill / 95% league 3.70 at 26 IP.
BB% 6.8% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.281 gives a 1.16 skill WHIP, blended 5%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.64 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.