MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Kai-Wei Teng
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Kai-Wei Teng

HOU·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Teng is a sell-high — BABIP luck is inflating his ERA.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.224 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed35.9%
35.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL103 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.8%
5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL103 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.300
.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015too early to trust
NOISE167 / 200 TBF
xERA3.57
3.57
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.53too early to trust
NOISE167 / 200 TBF
ERA2.57
2.57
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.53too early to trust
NOISE42 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.7%
25.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL167 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.4%
11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%too early to trust
NOISE167 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.224
.224
lg avg .295 ▼−.071too early to trust
NOISE103 / 800 BIP