141 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Carlos Correa
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.364); BABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .277R 23RBI 17SB 1
Correa is a hold — league average, nothing pushing either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .279 YTD → .277 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.3%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~8.4% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.364)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
97 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
97 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +1.9% ▲
97 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.364
lg avg .315 ▲+.049vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
141 / 160 PA
wOBA.347
lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
141 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
141 / 60 PA
Walk %12.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
141 / 120 PA
BABIP.330
lg avg .295 ▲+.035vs his norm +.014 ▲BABIP is above his ~.316 norm — expect it to fall.
97 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
141 / 50 PA
Chase %32.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
141 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.3%→9.0%signal3 HR — Barrel% 10.3% (signal) tempered to career ~8.4% → projected 9.0%.
BABIP 0.330→0.334 regressednoise.277 AVG — BABIP 0.330 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.334 (xBA 0.289) → 0.334.
on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~149 projected PA.
slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~149 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 32 G) over ~149 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.