262 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Yordan Alvarez
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Alvarez is a buy — elite contact, production earned.
His expected wOBA is .493, .178 above league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be fully reliable. His actual wOBA is .441, actually lower than expected, so there is no luck inflating the line. The contact quality is elite and trending up: 94.7 mph exit velocity, 53.5% hard-hit rate, and 20.0% barrels, all well above league and past their stabilization points. He walks nearly 15% of the time and strikes out below the league average. The skill is real and the sample supports it. Buy.
Buy
high0.92
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.493, +0.178 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo94.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+5.7 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL170 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %53.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+13.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL170 / 50 BBE
Barrel %20.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+12.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL170 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.493
lg avg .315 ▲+.178trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 160 PA
wOBA.441
lg avg .315 ▲+.126trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 60 PA
Walk %14.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 120 PA
BABIP.300
lg avg .295 ▲+.005too early to trust
NOISE170 / 800 BIP